In a diagnostic test, disease prevalence is . The test sensitivity is and false positive rate is . Calculate .

Answer and explanation

Correct answer: C.

**Answer: . Why not the others:** commits the base-rate fallacy by confusing with test sensitivity ; is the unadjusted prior prevalence; assumes equal probability of positive tests.
  1. Step 1: Apply Bayes' theorem: .
  2. Step 2: Calculate: numerator . Denominator . Thus (or ).

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