A study finds that towns with higher ice-cream sales also have more drownings. Which conclusion is best supported?

Answer and explanation

Correct answer: B. The two are correlated, and a confounder such as hot weather could explain both

  1. Step 1: A correlation shows that two variables change together, not that one causes the other.
  2. Step 2: Hot weather increases both ice-cream buying and swimming, so it is a confounding variable.
Answer
correlated with a confounding factor.
Why not the others: A causal claim needs more evidence; there is no support for the reverse direction; the correlation itself is real.

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